Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.193915 2.504478 2.843920 3.242575 3.698132 4.202692 4.804251
2025-08-17 1.669766 2.079277 2.567367 3.192517 3.972914 4.916300 6.145475
2025-08-24 1.428142 1.887687 2.468967 3.259280 4.307896 5.654584 7.520690
2025-08-31 1.252670 1.738468 2.383581 3.304676 4.589574 6.323867 8.852209
2025-09-07 1.099538 1.591553 2.272954 3.287967 4.766674 6.850599 10.025738
2025-09-14 0.966356 1.452239 2.150830 3.231575 4.868328 7.265840 11.066222
2025-09-21 0.865423 1.345834 2.060579 3.205231 5.001417 7.727236 12.207779
2025-09-28 0.775772 1.245107 1.965751 3.157337 5.089590 8.119553 13.270535
2025-10-05 0.758625 1.254803 2.039945 3.378436 5.618145 9.242091 15.604852
2025-10-12 0.704102 1.197615 2.000665 3.409102 5.835699 9.878323 17.192874
2025-10-19 0.673168 1.175946 2.016194 3.530411 6.213190 10.809276 19.368494
2025-10-26 0.620135 1.110779 1.951564 3.505918 6.333210 11.306071 20.822209
2025-11-02 0.564436 1.039313 1.875882 3.466637 6.445449 11.839527 22.477077
2025-11-09 0.511404 0.967896 1.794517 3.411132 6.527408 12.336774 24.143226
2025-11-16 0.482056 0.936909 1.782776 3.482630 6.852702 13.314704 26.836772
2025-11-23 0.452787 0.902682 1.760921 3.531185 7.136696 14.239673 29.526197
2025-11-30 0.418764 0.855355 1.708716 3.513312 7.284671 14.909158 31.765346
2025-12-07 0.383731 0.802232 1.639530 3.452992 7.337811 15.389442 33.656534
2025-12-14 0.355572 0.760320 1.588641 3.424813 7.454049 16.009515 35.915039
2025-12-21 0.327998 0.716785 1.530003 3.373584 7.514211 16.514303 37.971351
2025-12-28 0.328311 0.733518 1.600115 3.610086 8.232596 18.522617 43.673284
2026-01-04 0.311110 0.709698 1.580135 3.642889 8.493815 19.537833 47.172971
2026-01-11 0.302786 0.705046 1.601821 3.772656 8.991695 21.141217 52.258585